IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-15.5	#348
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.5	#88
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.0	#331

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-8.5	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	4.1%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	5.0%	19.2%	4.8%
.500 or above in Conference	37.5%	58.0%	37.2%
Conference Champion	2.5%	6.4%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	14.5%	6.9%	14.7%

First Four	1.0%	4.1%	0.9%
First Round	0.3%	1.1%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.8	0.0 - 1.8
Quad 1b	0.0 - 1.5	0.0 - 3.3
Quad 2	0.0 - 2.3	0.1 - 5.6
Quad 3	0.3 - 4.1	0.3 - 9.7
Quad 4	7.8 - 12.2	8.1 - 21.9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2018	98	@ Tulsa	L	64-84	1%
Nov 13, 2018	232	@ Charleston Southern	L	67-78	9%
Nov 16, 2018	281	@ Cleveland St.	L	68-77	13%
Nov 18, 2018	40	@ Ohio St.	L	60-86	0.3%
Nov 20, 2018	169	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	73-88	5%
Nov 25, 2018	322	@ Samford	L	76-82	22%
Nov 28, 2018	112	@ College of Charleston	L	61-80	3%
Dec 01, 2018	289	@ Jacksonville	L	70-79	16%
Dec 09, 2018	20	@ Virginia Tech	L	63-92	0.3%
Dec 11, 2018	155	@ Liberty	L	61-77	5%
Dec 15, 2018	334	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	78-82	27%
Dec 20, 2018	170	@ Miami (OH)	L	64-79	6%
Dec 22, 2018	36	@ Cincinnati	L	55-82	1%
Jan 02, 2019	319	Presbyterian	L	67-73	40%
Jan 05, 2019	347	N.C. A&T	L	75-76	58%
Jan 12, 2019	339	@ Morgan St.	L	73-76	30%
Jan 14, 2019	345	@ Coppin St.	L	70-71	36%
Jan 19, 2019	305	Howard	L	75-82	35%
Jan 21, 2019	277	Norfolk St.	L	71-80	30%
Jan 26, 2019	353	@ Savannah St.	W	89-87	47%
Feb 02, 2019	341	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	70-72	34%
Feb 04, 2019	351	@ Delaware St.	W	71-70	43%
Feb 09, 2019	339	Morgan St.	L	73-76	49%
Feb 11, 2019	345	Coppin St.	L	70-71	56%
Feb 16, 2019	299	Bethune-Cookman	L	79-87	35%
Feb 18, 2019	352	Florida A&M	W	73-71	65%
Feb 23, 2019	347	@ N.C. A&T	L	75-76	38%
Feb 25, 2019	302	@ NC Central	L	66-74	19%
Mar 02, 2019	299	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	79-87	18%
Mar 07, 2019	353	Savannah St.	W	89-87	67%
Projected Record						8.1 - 21.9	6.6 - 9.4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1		2.5	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	1.1	1.5	0.7	0.1	0.0			3.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.5	2.5	1.8	0.8	0.0					5.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.5	2.9	3.1	0.7	0.1						7.2	4th
5th								0.4	2.9	3.9	1.0	0.1							8.2	5th
6th							0.2	2.5	5.3	1.9	0.0								9.9	6th
7th						0.1	2.2	5.4	2.5	0.2									10.5	7th
8th					0.1	1.6	5.3	3.8	0.4	0.0									11.2	8th
9th				0.0	1.1	4.9	4.0	0.7	0.0										10.8	9th
10th			0.1	1.2	4.7	4.3	0.9	0.0											11.3	10th
11th		0.2	1.6	3.8	3.8	1.2	0.0												10.5	11th
12th	0.6	1.8	3.1	2.3	0.6	0.1													8.4	12th

Total	0.6	2.0	4.8	7.3	10.2	12.2	12.7	12.8	11.6	9.5	7.0	3.9	3.0	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	92.3%	0.2		0.1	0.0
14-2	86.0%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
13-3	52.2%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-4	23.2%	0.7		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-5	5.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.5%	2.5		1.2	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		49.6%	49.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-1	0.2%		42.9%	42.9%		16.0																	0.1	0.1
14-2	0.7%		26.5%	26.5%		15.9																0.0	0.2	0.5
13-3	1.5%		15.8%	15.8%		16.0																	0.2	1.2
12-4	3.0%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.2	2.8
11-5	3.9%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.1	3.8
10-6	7.0%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
9-7	9.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.5
8-8	11.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
7-9	12.8%																							12.8
6-10	12.7%																							12.7
5-11	12.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
4-12	10.2%																							10.2
3-13	7.3%																							7.3
2-14	4.8%																							4.8
1-15	2.0%																							2.0
0-16	0.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.6

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.0	1.0	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%	0.1%	16.0																0.1